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Abstract Direct measurement of methane emissions is cost-prohibitive for greenhouse gas offset projects, necessitating the development of alternative accounting methods such as proxies. Salinity is a useful proxy for tidal marsh CH 4 emissions when comparing across a wide range of salinity regimes but does not adequately explain variation in brackish and freshwater regimes, where variation in emissions is large. We sought to improve upon the salinity proxy in a marsh complex on Deal Island Peninsula, Maryland, USA by comparing emissions from four strata differing in hydrology and plant community composition. Mean CH 4 chamber-collected emissions measured as mg CH 4 m −2  h −1 ranked as S. alterniflora (1.2 ± 0.3) ≫ High-elevation J. roemerianus (0.4 ± 0.06) > Low-elevation J. roemerianus (0.3 ± 0.07) =  S. patens (0.1 ± 0.01). Sulfate depletion generally reflected the same pattern with significantly greater depletion in the S. alterniflora stratum (61 ± 4%) than in the S. patens stratum (1 ± 9%) with the J. roemerianus strata falling in between. We attribute the high CH 4 emissions in the S. alterniflora stratum to sulfate depletion likely driven by limited connectivity to tidal waters. Low CH 4 emissions in the S. patens stratum are attributed to lower water levels, higher levels of ferric iron, and shallow rooting depth. Moderate CH 4 emissions from the J. roemerianus strata were likely due to plant traits that favor CH 4 oxidation over CH 4 production. Hydrology and plant community composition have significant potential as proxies to estimate CH 4 emissions at the site scale. 

Abstract Methane (CH₄) is a potent greenhouse gas (GHG) with atmospheric concentrations that have nearly tripled since pre‐industrial times. Wetlands account for a large share of global CH₄emissions, yet the magnitude and factors controlling CH₄fluxes in tidal wetlands remain uncertain. We synthesized CH₄flux data from 100 chamber and 9 eddy covariance (EC) sites across tidal marshes in the conterminous United States to assess controlling factors and improve predictions of CH₄emissions. This effort included creating an open‐source database of chamber‐based GHG fluxes (https://doi.org/10.25573/serc.14227085). Annual fluxes across chamber and EC sites averaged 26 ± 53 g CH₄m⁻² year⁻¹, with a median of 3.9 g CH₄m⁻² year⁻¹, and only 25% of sites exceeding 18 g CH₄m⁻² year⁻¹. The highest fluxes were observed at fresh‐oligohaline sites with daily maximum temperature normals (MATmax) above 25.6°C. These were followed by frequently inundated low and mid‐fresh‐oligohaline marshes with MATmax ≤25.6°C, and mesohaline sites with MATmax >19°C. Quantile regressions of paired chamber CH₄flux and porewater biogeochemistry revealed that the 90th percentile of fluxes fell below 5 ± 3 nmol m⁻² s⁻¹at sulfate concentrations >4.7 ± 0.6 mM, porewater salinity >21 ± 2 psu, or surface water salinity >15 ± 3 psu. Across sites, salinity was the dominant predictor of annual CH₄fluxes, while within sites, temperature, gross primary productivity (GPP), and tidal height controlled variability at diel and seasonal scales. At the diel scale, GPP preceded temperature in importance for predicting CH₄flux changes, while the opposite was observed at the seasonal scale. Water levels influenced the timing and pathway of diel CH₄fluxes, with pulsed releases of stored CH₄at low to rising tide. This study provides data and methods to improve tidal marsh CH₄emission estimates, support blue carbon assessments, and refine national and global GHG inventories.